Montedio Yamagata 4-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 33% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.29/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.07
-2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 31.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
5W-1D-0L
AWAY JEF United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 288
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 JEF United JEF United 2-3 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
12.08.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.02.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
18.09.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
06.03.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
09.08.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
4-0
AWAY JEF United
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
416 Passes 302
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata cruised past JEF United 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 56% of the ball to JEF United's 44%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.67 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United?

Montedio Yamagata 4-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 24%, JEF United 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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