Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +1%
1.91/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.16
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 27.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
28.10.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
11.06.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
317 Passes 508
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 40% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 60%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.33 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 48%, draw 25%, Roasso Kumamoto 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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