Iwaki 3-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
-30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-0D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
17.09.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
16.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
3-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 1
202 Passes 243
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki cruised past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Iwaki had 49% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 51%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 0.67 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Iwaki 3-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 46%, draw 26%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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