ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.74/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.82
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
16.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-1 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1
AWAY Iwaki
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 44% of the ball to Iwaki's 56%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.00 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Iwaki?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 23%, draw 28%, Iwaki 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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