Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +7%
0.84/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.04
-31% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
02.04.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
06.07.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
12.03.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-2 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
14.11.2015 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
01.04.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 1-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-2
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto squeezed past Tokushima Vortis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Roasso Kumamoto made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 55% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 45%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.33 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 33%, draw 33%, Roasso Kumamoto 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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