Mito HollyHock 1-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.39/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.20
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
201 Passes 541
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
23.04.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
23.08.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 2-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
09.03.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
08.07.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
17.05.2015 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Oita Trinita couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 44% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 56%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.67 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Oita Trinita?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 39%, draw 28%, Oita Trinita 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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