Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 20%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
-13% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.12 xG 2.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
277 Passes 516
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
5 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
26.08.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
10.09.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
30.03.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
17.10.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
144 Passes 355
60% Pass Accuracy 79%
3 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Oita Trinita 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 34% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 66%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.50 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Oita Trinita?

Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 49%, draw 27%, Oita Trinita 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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