Ventforet Kofu 3-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.8 Crosses 19.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 474
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
30.09.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
26.03.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-4 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
16.07.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
30.04.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 2-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
05.12.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-3 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
185 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu got the better of Mito HollyHock 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ventforet Kofu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 31% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 69%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.67 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Mito HollyHock?

Ventforet Kofu 3-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 42%, draw 25%, Mito HollyHock 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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