Parceiro Nagano 3-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
237 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano nicked a narrow win over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Parceiro Nagano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 42% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 58%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Parceiro Nagano 3-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated an ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 31%, draw 30%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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