Nara Club 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.38/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.33
+16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.7 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
259 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
13.04.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
02.12.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
05.03.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
400 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club squeezed past Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 62% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 38%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nara Club and 1.25 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Nara Club 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 29%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Yamaga 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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