Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 1 Mar 2025

Sagamihara
0-2 HT 0-0
Kagoshima United
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sagamihara v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.09/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.21
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.7 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kagoshima United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-3 HT 0-2 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
26.03.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
20.08.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
17.07.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
22.11.2020 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.08.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3

Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-2
AWAY Kagoshima United
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
390 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United saw off Sagamihara 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kagoshima United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagamihara had 60% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 40%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sagamihara and 1.17 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 39%, draw 30%, Kagoshima United 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5
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