Tolmin 1-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 1 Mar 2025

Tolmin
1-0 HT 0-0
Krka
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
0.69/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.42
-54% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Krka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
27.04.2024 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 2-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
08.10.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 1-3 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tolmin edged past Krka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tolmin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tolmin and 2.00 for Krka.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Krka?

Tolmin 1-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tolmin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 39%, draw 28%, Krka 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tolmin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tolmin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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