ND Primorje 0-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.35
6+ Goals
11%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.46
-61% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Domzale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
16.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
0-1
AWAY Domzale
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale edged past ND Primorje 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was ND Primorje at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 66% of the ball to Domzale's 34%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ND Primorje had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ND Primorje and 0.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Domzale?

ND Primorje 0-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Primorje win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 44%, draw 27%, Domzale 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ND Primorje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ND Primorje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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