Radomlje 0-4 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
45%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
45%
Away Win
60%
-14.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 64%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.04/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.99
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maribor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.08.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
06.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVNK
11.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-2 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
0-4
AWAY Maribor
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor ran out comfortable winners over Radomlje 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Radomlje had 45% of the ball to Maribor's 55%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radomlje and 1.50 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Maribor?

Radomlje 0-4 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 27%, draw 28%, Maribor 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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