Maribor 1-0 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +29%
2.33/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
+29% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
06.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVNK
11.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-2 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
23.07.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-0
AWAY Radomlje
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor squeezed past Radomlje 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maribor had 59% of the ball to Radomlje's 41%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Radomlje?

Maribor 1-0 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maribor 50%, draw 25%, Radomlje 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
2 Nov 2024
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