Al Fateh 1-2 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Mar 2025

Al Fateh
1-2 HT 1-0
Al Taawon
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Fateh vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Fateh v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 31%
-17% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.48/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.30
-10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.3 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Al Fateh vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
330 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
23.12.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-3 HT 0-3 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
13.08.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.02.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.08.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
04.03.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Taawon
2.26 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 48% of the ball to Al Taawon's 52%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.26 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Fateh.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Fateh and 1.33 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Taawon?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 45%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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