Al Kholood 2-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.70/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.74
+102% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.8 Crosses 21.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 0.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
248 Passes 447
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
14.02.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
06.10.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.94 xG 1.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Al Khaleej 2-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Kholood found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 38% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 62%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.94 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Kholood and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Al Kholood 2-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 32%, draw 30%, Al Khaleej 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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