Al Taawon 2-0 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.34/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.61
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.6 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
359 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-3 HT 0-3 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
13.08.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.02.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.08.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
04.03.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
17.10.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
2-0
AWAY Al Fateh
1.20 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon saw off Al Fateh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Al Taawon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Taawon had 50% of the ball to Al Fateh's 50%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Taawon and 1.67 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Fateh?

Al Taawon 2-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 40%, draw 30%, Al Fateh 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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