Al Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.5
2-3 Goals
35%
2.25
4-5 Goals
31%
2.42
6+ Goals
14%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.5pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.32/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/3.09
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +21%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
25.1 Crosses 7.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
444 Passes 156
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
13.03.2015 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
28.09.2014 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
25.01.2014 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-0
AWAY Al Orubah
3.06 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
568 Passes 250
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr cruised past Al Orubah 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 67% of the ball to Al Orubah's 33%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.06 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 0.67 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Orubah?

Al Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 66%, draw 18%, Al Orubah 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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