Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
4-2
HT 3-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
5-1
HT 3-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 44% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.65 to 2.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.67 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 30%, draw 25%, Al Hilal Riyadh 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.