Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.13/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.22
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
27.11.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 5-2 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
23.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-2 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKRK
07.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
30.10.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.12.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 3-1 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0-1
AWAY Livyi Bereh
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh edged past Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Livyi Bereh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.17 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Livyi Bereh?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 30%, draw 36%, Livyi Bereh 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
1 Mar 2025
19:00 Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria Analysis →