Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shakhtar Donetsk v Oleksandria — Team-Based Signals
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Oleksandria
UKR
1-1
HT 1-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
2-2
HT 1-1
Oleksandria
UKR
1-2
HT 0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Oleksandria — Actual Match Statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past Oleksandria 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 6-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.50 for Oleksandria.
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria?
Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 54%, draw 27%, Oleksandria 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.