Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.79
+25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oleksandria
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 4-3 HT 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
26.02.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
14.08.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
07.05.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
29.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
11.12.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-2 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3-0
AWAY Oleksandria
6 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past Oleksandria 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.50 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 54%, draw 27%, Oleksandria 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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