Aurora 1-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Mar 2026

Aurora
1-1 HT 1-0
Mixco
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 30%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.13/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.37
-12% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mixco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.12.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
21.09.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-1
AWAY Mixco
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Mixco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Mixco's 47%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aurora and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Mixco?

Aurora 1-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aurora 48%, draw 29%, Mixco 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ BTTS Yes
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