Aurora 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Dec 2025

Aurora
1-0 HT 0-0
Mixco
📅01/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.21/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.58
+0% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +110%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mixco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.09.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Mixco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Mixco?

Aurora 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aurora 48%, draw 24%, Mixco 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ BTTS Yes
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