Marquense 0-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.68
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Municipal
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
12.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
09.05.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
24.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal beat Marquense 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Marquense and 1.17 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Municipal?

Marquense 0-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Marquense 28%, draw 23%, Municipal 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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