Achuapa 1-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.25/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.23
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
10.04.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 1-2 HT 1-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-1
AWAY Guastatoya
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa and Guastatoya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Achuapa had 51% of the ball to Guastatoya's 49%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Achuapa and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Achuapa 1-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 46%, draw 26%, Guastatoya 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Achuapa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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