Achuapa 1-2 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.13/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
06.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-2
AWAY Guastatoya
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya nicked a narrow win over Achuapa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 60% of the ball to Guastatoya's 40%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Achuapa and 1.33 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Achuapa 1-2 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 42%, draw 32%, Guastatoya 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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