Municipal 2-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Apr 2025

Municipal
2-1 HT 2-1
Xinabajul
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Municipal vs Xinabajul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.9pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal v Xinabajul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
2.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.96
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.8

Municipal vs Xinabajul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.02.2025 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-3 HT 3-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
13.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
17.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Xinabajul 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Municipal and 0.67 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xinabajul?

Municipal 2-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Municipal 63%, draw 20%, Xinabajul 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5
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