Municipal 1-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
76%
-2.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
2.20/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.97
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
473 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Marquense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.09.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
12.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
09.05.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
24.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Marquense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal and 0.17 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Marquense?

Municipal 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Municipal 73%, draw 19%, Marquense 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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