Kryvbas KR 3-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.95
+34% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-3 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
20.04.2025 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
20.10.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
09.12.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-2 HT 2-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
06.08.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-3 HT 1-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
08.04.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
3-1
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Kryvbas KR vs Zorya Luhansk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kryvbas KR beat Zorya Luhansk 3-1 in the Ukraine - Premier League on 1 Mar 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kryvbas KR had 46% of the ball to Zorya Luhansk's 54%, shots finished 14-19.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.83 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Zorya Luhansk?

Kryvbas KR 3-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 34%, draw 28%, Zorya Luhansk 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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