Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 38%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.03/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.98
-4% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.08.2025 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-2 HT 0-1 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
15.12.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-3 HT 0-1 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
11.08.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-4 HT 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
11.05.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
06.11.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-2 HT 1-1 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv edged past Rukh Vynnyky 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Obolon Kyiv had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 1.60 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Obolon Kyiv 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 33%, draw 26%, Rukh Vynnyky 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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