Karpaty Lviv 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.39/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.80
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
17.05.2025 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
22.11.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
29.02.2020 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0-1
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka nicked a narrow win over Karpaty Lviv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Kolos Kovalivka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Karpaty Lviv had 50% of the ball to Kolos Kovalivka's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 1.40 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Karpaty Lviv 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 39%, draw 26%, Kolos Kovalivka 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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