Örebro 0-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
24%
4.12
X/2
7%
9.13
X/X
13%
5.25
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.8
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.66/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.52
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Skövde AIK
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Örebro Örebro 5-3 HT 1-3 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
07.05.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-2 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
23.08.2022 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
18.05.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
0-1
AWAY Skövde AIK
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK squeezed past Örebro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Örebro at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Örebro had 58% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 42%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Örebro had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Örebro and 1.25 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Skövde AIK?

Örebro 0-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Örebro 51%, draw 25%, Skövde AIK 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Örebro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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