Gefle 2-3 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
13%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
10%
6.48
X/2
16%
4.74
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.09
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.67/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.76
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +86%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
10.04.2023 Gefle Gefle 1-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
25.08.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 3-0 HT 2-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
05.06.2018 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
02.10.2017 Gefle Gefle 2-1 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
17.04.2017 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
2-3
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF squeezed past Gefle 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Helsingborgs IF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gefle had 55% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gefle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gefle and 1.00 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Helsingborgs IF?

Gefle 2-3 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gefle 33%, draw 28%, Helsingborgs IF 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helsingborgs IF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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