IK Brage 1-0 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Apr 2024

IK Brage
1-0 HT 1-0
Varbergs
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.52
X/2
15%
7.18
X/X
13%
4.75
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
13%
5.24
2/X
4%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage squeezed past Varbergs 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day IK Brage made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Varbergs?

IK Brage 1-0 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 40%, draw 27%, Varbergs 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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