Kopenhag 1-2 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Apr 2024

Kopenhag
1-2 HT 1-0
Brondby
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Kopenhag vs Brondby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.23
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.36
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
13%
6.37
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.36 — our 15% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kopenhag v Brondby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.70/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.38
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
455 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.5 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kopenhag vs Brondby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brondby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
24.09.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-3 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
14.05.2023 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
30.04.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
16.10.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-1 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
07.08.2022 Kopenhag Kopenhag 4-1 HT 3-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby nicked a narrow win over Kopenhag 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kopenhag and 1.00 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Brondby?

Kopenhag 1-2 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 41%, draw 25%, Brondby 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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