Silkeborg IF 2-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.85
X/2
13%
6.03
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.62
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.70/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.24
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.0 Crosses 19.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
520 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
26.02.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
11.09.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
26.11.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
20.09.2021 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-2 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
2-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.27 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
584 Passes 359
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF and AGF Aarhus couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 60% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Silkeborg IF and 1.17 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Silkeborg IF 2-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Silkeborg IF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 37%, draw 29%, AGF Aarhus 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Silkeborg IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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