Midtjylland 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.23
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
11%
5.96
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.98
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.20/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.55
-7% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.7 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
371 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.11.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.09.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
17.10.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
10.09.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-3
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.20 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
326 Passes 332
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Midtjylland 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; FC Nordsjaelland found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Midtjylland had 51% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 49%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Midtjylland and 1.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Midtjylland 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 39%, draw 27%, FC Nordsjaelland 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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