Farsley AFC 1-3 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.82
2-3 Goals
33%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
10%
6.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 34% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.8pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.9pp
59%
Away Win
80%
-20.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oxford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Oxford City Oxford City 4-1 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-3
AWAY Oxford City
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City beat Farsley AFC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oxford City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 36% of the ball to Oxford City's 64%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Oxford City?

Farsley AFC 1-3 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 18%, draw 22%, Oxford City 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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