Oxford City 4-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.82
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
4-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City swept aside Farsley AFC 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oxford City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oxford City had 56% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 44%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Farsley AFC?

Oxford City 4-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 48%, draw 27%, Farsley AFC 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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