Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 17%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.81/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.32
-2% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Leamington
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2023 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
13.08.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
02.05.2022 Leamington Leamington 2-0 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
01.02.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
07.11.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1-0
AWAY Leamington
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers edged past Leamington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 61% of the ball to Leamington's 39%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.60 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Leamington?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 57%, draw 27%, Leamington 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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