Salisbury 5-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.97
Over 2.5
34%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 33% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
47%
+18.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
53%
-18.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.6pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.49
+82% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
5-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury cruised past Hemel Hempstead Town 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salisbury as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Salisbury had 59% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 41%, shots finished 19-2.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Salisbury 5-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 44%, draw 29%, Hemel Hempstead Town 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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