Bath City 1-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.32/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.19
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.08.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
09.12.2023 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
1-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood edged past Bath City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 43% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 57%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bath City and 0.50 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Boreham Wood?

Bath City 1-2 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bath City 25%, draw 29%, Boreham Wood 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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