Boreham Wood 1-0 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.53
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bath City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.12.2023 Bath City Bath City 1-0 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-0
AWAY Bath City
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood edged past Bath City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 66% of the ball to Bath City's 34%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Bath City?

Boreham Wood 1-0 Bath City in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 49%, draw 25%, Bath City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5
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