Needham Market 2-3 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.19
-6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.08.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
2-3
AWAY Curzon Ashton
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton squeezed past Needham Market 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Curzon Ashton made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Needham Market had 49% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 51%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Curzon Ashton?

Needham Market 2-3 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 36%, draw 28%, Curzon Ashton 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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