Homburg 2-1 Göppinger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.14/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.78
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +134%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Göppinger SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.09.2024 Göppinger SV 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Göppinger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg nicked a narrow win over Göppinger SV 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Göppinger SV?

Homburg 2-1 Göppinger SV in the Germany - Regional League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Göppinger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Homburg 50%, draw 33%, Göppinger SV 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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