Luckenwalde 1-0 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.37/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.66
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 4-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
19.04.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
03.11.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.02.2019 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 2-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin HAZ
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde squeezed past Viktoria Berlin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Berlin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Luckenwalde and 2.33 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin?

Luckenwalde 1-0 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 33%, draw 25%, Viktoria Berlin 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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