Viktoria Berlin 4-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.24/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.78
-32% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
03.11.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.02.2019 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 2-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin HAZ
17.10.2015 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 2-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
4-1
AWAY Luckenwalde
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin ran out comfortable winners over Luckenwalde 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Berlin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 63% of the ball to Luckenwalde's 37%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.17 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Luckenwalde?

Viktoria Berlin 4-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 46%, draw 27%, Luckenwalde 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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