Chemie Leipzig 1-2 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.78
-20% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +76%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1-2
AWAY Greifswalder SV
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV edged past Chemie Leipzig 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 54% of the ball to Greifswalder SV's 46%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.50 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV?

Chemie Leipzig 1-2 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 32%, draw 26%, Greifswalder SV 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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