Greifswalder SV 3-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -22%
2.52/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.17
+30% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
3-0
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV swept aside Chemie Leipzig 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 58% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.67 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig?

Greifswalder SV 3-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 54%, draw 20%, Chemie Leipzig 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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